Economist Conf. – Fin. Min. Staikouras: GDP at 220 billion euros in 2023

Finance Minister Christos Staikouras said he was “realistically optimistic” that Greece can – and will – move to high, sustainable and socially just growth and prosperity for all the society, despite the fact that crises are tending to become the new normal, while addressing the Economist conference on Monday.

According to the minister, this is based on the performance of the economy, which “builds” confidence, provides protection, cultivates reasonable expectations and creates positive perspectives against the shocks of unpredictable external developments. He referred to the updated figures, according to which Greece’s GDP will rise to 210 billion euros this year and 220 billion euros in 2023, an increase of 5.3% this year and a little over 2% next year, while noting that this growth will be combined with policies that ensure fiscal stability.

1. GDP is growing strongly. Amidst the energy crisis, the economy is growing at a rapid rate, almost twice the European average. The estimate is revised upwards to 5.3% for 2022 (from an initial estimate of 3.1%). During the same period, the European average is estimated at 3.1%.

Based on current data, the country’s GDP is expected to be around 210 billion euros in 2022 and 220 billion euros in 2023.

2. Growth is also based on the impressive increase in investments and exports. This year it is estimated that there will be a new historical performance in foreign direct investments and exports of goods and services.

In particular: Foreign direct investments reached 5 billion euros in 2021, recording the highest performance of the last twenty years. This upward trend is continuing in 2022, since in the first half of 2022, FDIs have exceeded 90% of those throughout the previous year.

Exports accounted for 41% of GDP in 2021, double the pre-crisis levels. Today, Greece exports more than France, Italy and Spain, while it has impressively increased exports of high-tech goods.

3. Unemployment is shrinking. Having fallen by around 6 points, compared to 2019, it is at its lowest level in the last 12 years, with a more significant reduction in the level of youth and female unemployment.

4. The bad loans in the banks’ portfolios have significantly decreased. They stood at the end of the first half of 2022 at 14.8 billion euros or 10% of total loans, from 75.3 billion euros or 44% of the total in June 2019.

5. Greece credibility has also been strengthened. The country has exited the regime of enhanced surveillance, has prepaid all IMF loans, has been upgraded 11 times over the last three years (four of them after the outbreak of war in Ukraine), returned to European normality and is approaching investment grade.